Archive for the ‘anomalous’ Category

2007 – The alarmists’ annus horibilis

Posted on timeMay 2nd, 2008 by userPali Gap    flagNo Comments


All four agencies that track Earth’s temperature (the Hadley Climate Research Unit in Britain, the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York, the Christy group at the University of Alabama, and Remote Sensing Systems Inc in California) report that it cooled by about 0.7C in 2007. This is the fastest temperature change in the instrumental record and it puts us back where we were in 1930. If the temperature does not soon recover, we will have to conclude that global warming is over.” Phil Chapman.

Phil Chapman is a geophysicist and astronautical engineer and the first Australian to become a NASA astronaut writing in the Australian.  He continues alarmingly…

The next descent into an ice age is inevitable but may not happen for another 1000 years. On the other hand, it must be noted that the cooling in 2007 was even faster than in typical glacial transitions. If it continued for 20 years, the temperature would be 14C cooler in 2027. By then, most of the advanced nations would have ceased to exist, vanishing under the ice, and the rest of the world would be faced with a catastrophe beyond imagining

Which brings to mind Robert Frost’s wonderful poem:

Some say the world will end in fire,
Some say in ice.
From what I’ve tasted of desire
I hold with those who favor fire.
But if it had to perish twice,
I think I know enough of hate
To know that for destruction ice
Is also great
And would suffice.

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Global cooling

Posted on timeDecember 26th, 2007 by userPali Gap    flagNo Comments


The Washington Times is carrying a nice litany of global cooling stories here. The list from 2006/2007 includes Argentina, Peru, South Africa, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, USA, and South Korea, and was compiled by David Deming (a geophysicist, an adjunct scholar with the National Center for Policy Analysis, and associate professor of Arts and Sciences at the University of Oklahoma).

Update Jan 13th 2008:

And here we have some climate change protesters outside the State House in Annapolis chilling out:

Cold Climate Change Protesters

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Arctic sea levels…falling!

Posted on timeJanuary 7th, 2007 by userPali Gap    flagNo Comments


If we are to test a scientific conjecture by its predictions, how damming should it be to the hypothesis of anthropogenic global warming (AGW) to discover that Arctic sea levels have been falling, not rising, by about 2mm per year over the last decade?

Well in fact that is exactly what has been happening if we are to believe the data from the European Space Agency’s (ESA) ERS-2 satellite. There is a BBC report on the findings here.

Of course against this we have to consider that the satellite measurement of sea level is extremely tricky. Also it may well be that a sea level fall in the Arctic is “just” a local phenomenon. Elsewhere sea levels may be rising – and indeed a collation of satellite measurements is thought to indicate a global rise of 3.2mm per year from 1992 to 2006.

But then the forecasts for rising sea levels are so apocalyptic they seem to leave little room for falling levels anywhere! For example, writing in Science Express (December 2006) Dr Stephen Rahmstorf from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research is predicting a sea level rise of between 0.5 to 1.4 metres above 1990 levels by 2100.

Well it seems to me that taken overall the measured rate is lagging significantly behind this predicted rate. And in the Arctic the Gods of the sea level just don’t seem to be playing ball and would appear to be completely deaf to the AGW agenda!

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Stratospheric COOLING causing problems

Posted on timeOctober 26th, 2006 by userPali Gap    flagNo Comments


Sometimes ‘global warming’ and ‘ozone layer depletion’ get wrongly conflated.

However recently it seems to me we have not heard too much about the ozone layer issue. Perhaps that is because it had been thought that the problem was going away. The “hole” was thought to be repairing itself or at least stabilizing.

Now it is back on the radar. It seems that scientists at the European Space Agency are reporting that 2006 saw record losses of ozone over the south pole.

What caught my eye however was the conjectured explanation: Far from global warming being to blame, on the contrary, it is thought that record cooling is the culprit!

“Such significant ozone loss requires very low temperatures in the stratosphere combined with sunlight. This year’s extreme loss of ozone can be explained by the temperatures above Antarctica reaching the lowest recorded in the area since 1979”

This from ESA’s atmospheric engineer Claus Zehner (see here and here)

Very odd!

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